Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000106 0.000116 0.000128 0.000141 0.000155 0.000171 0.000189
2026-01-04 0.000086 0.000102 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000201 0.000241
2026-01-11 0.000072 0.000090 0.000112 0.000140 0.000177 0.000223 0.000285
2026-01-18 0.000064 0.000083 0.000107 0.000141 0.000187 0.000247 0.000333
2026-01-25 0.000056 0.000076 0.000102 0.000139 0.000191 0.000264 0.000372
2026-02-01 0.000051 0.000071 0.000098 0.000139 0.000198 0.000284 0.000418
2026-02-08 0.000046 0.000066 0.000094 0.000136 0.000201 0.000298 0.000456
2026-02-15 0.000042 0.000061 0.000089 0.000133 0.000203 0.000309 0.000491
2026-02-22 0.000039 0.000059 0.000088 0.000135 0.000210 0.000331 0.000544
2026-03-01 0.000037 0.000057 0.000087 0.000137 0.000220 0.000357 0.000606
2026-03-08 0.000034 0.000053 0.000083 0.000134 0.000220 0.000367 0.000642
2026-03-15 0.000031 0.000049 0.000078 0.000129 0.000217 0.000371 0.000667
2026-03-22 0.000029 0.000048 0.000077 0.000130 0.000225 0.000394 0.000733
2026-03-29 0.000028 0.000046 0.000076 0.000131 0.000232 0.000420 0.000807
2026-04-05 0.000026 0.000043 0.000073 0.000129 0.000235 0.000435 0.000863
2026-04-12 0.000024 0.000042 0.000072 0.000130 0.000242 0.000460 0.000941
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000040 0.000069 0.000128 0.000243 0.000475 0.001000
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000038 0.000068 0.000127 0.000249 0.000497 0.001078
2026-05-03 0.000020 0.000036 0.000066 0.000125 0.000249 0.000510 0.001137
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000034 0.000063 0.000122 0.000249 0.000520 0.001190
2026-05-17 0.000018 0.000034 0.000062 0.000124 0.000256 0.000548 0.001292
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000126 0.000266 0.000583 0.001416
2026-05-31 0.000016 0.000031 0.000060 0.000123 0.000265 0.000591 0.001471